The winter forecast hinges predominantly on the 75 percent chance that El Niño, characterized by warming waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean, will develop in the coming months and last through the winter.
-No part of the U.S.is favored to have below-average temperatures. During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the US can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.
The Climate Prediction Center issues updates its 3-month outlooks once per month, NOAA said, and the next update for this winter is expected November 15.
An overall mild winter is expected when it comes to temperatures, with most of the USA expected to see warmer than normal temperatures, some much warmer than normal, according to the NOAA outlook from its Climate Prediction Center.
California is likely to see hotter-than-average winter temperatures, while parts of Southern California could also get greater precipitation, according to NOAA.
Meantime, drier-than-average conditions are expected for the Great Lakes and portions of the Northern Rockies and the Northern Plains.
The NOAA outlook covers the months of December, January and February, when the average high temperatures in Portland are 37 degrees, 31 degrees and 35 degrees, respectively.
The southern states of the USA, as well as those in the Mid-Atlantic, are expected to receive above-normal precipitation. During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the USA can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.
But drought conditions are anticipated to improve in areas in Arizona and New Mexico, southern sections of Utah and Colorado, as well as the coastal Pacific Northwest and Central Plains, the agency said.
For those looking for snowfall projections, you won't find those in NOAA's winter outlook.
Even so, it's no time to ditch the shovels and heavy winter jackets, with NOAA warning that its forecast does not mean the winter of 2018-2019 will not feature major snowstorms. "We stand by our forecast and formula, which accurately predicted the many storms last winter, as well as this summer's steamy, hot conditions", editor Peter Geiger wrote.
Cold air and even some snow blanketed areas of Maine Thursday, but the National Weather Service predictions indicate that Maine might experience a milder-than-average winter.
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