Tropical wave heading toward Caribbean, 50% chance of development

USVI In Path Of New Weather System; Tropical Cyclone Development Possible By Midweek -

If the storm does continue to develop, it will be named Patty.

Environmental conditions remain unfavorable for immediate development into a tropical or sub-tropical system, but may become more favorable by Tuesday and Wednesday as 96-L moves near or just north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.

The chance of formation through the next 48 hours is 50 per cent, while that increases to 90 per cent over the next five days.

The wave that is moving through the Atlantic has a good chance of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone by the middle of the week as it passes near Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas.

A cyclone is a closed-circulation rotating storm that depending on its wind-speed intensity, is classified, from weakest to strongest, as a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane.

The Virgin Islands Territorial Emergency Management Agency said in a release today that it's monitoring the system.

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Hurricane season may be winding down, but there's still a chance for more weather systems to develop as November draws to a close.

"In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the Atlantic basin thus far in 2018 has been above normal".

Late-season storms can be some of the most destructive.

While Caribbean countries have been spared for most of the 2018 hurricane season, heavy rains in several countries have led to floods, landslides and millions of dollars in damage.

Alberto formed before the season's official beginning on June 1, making it the fourth year in a row with a storm before the season's official start on June 1.



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